Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.539438 0.622333 0.712712 0.818436 0.938580 1.070725 1.226940
2025-07-27 0.411219 0.527222 0.666241 0.844464 1.066170 1.332130 1.674541
2025-08-03 0.332366 0.460887 0.626029 0.852363 1.152873 1.536329 2.060584
2025-08-10 0.275563 0.407940 0.588157 0.849084 1.214386 1.704325 2.407161
2025-08-17 0.231470 0.363104 0.551669 0.838108 1.258008 1.845862 2.724591
2025-08-24 0.197737 0.326983 0.520869 0.828391 1.298122 1.981268 3.040228
2025-08-31 0.166800 0.289939 0.482869 0.801504 1.307189 2.068998 3.290044
2025-09-07 0.156022 0.283190 0.490048 0.843756 1.423731 2.323982 3.808282
2025-09-14 0.134576 0.255368 0.459548 0.821241 1.434259 2.414929 4.078357
2025-09-21 0.116621 0.230961 0.431474 0.798846 1.441321 2.498772 4.340901
2025-09-28 0.102160 0.210785 0.408089 0.781348 1.453771 2.590562 4.621064
2025-10-05 0.094769 0.202891 0.405572 0.800139 1.529956 2.793409 5.100546
2025-10-12 0.090564 0.200949 0.414267 0.841128 1.650878 3.084800 5.758776
2025-10-19 0.084733 0.194969 0.414672 0.866683 1.746181 3.339299 6.373036
2025-10-26 0.077631 0.185286 0.406585 0.874683 1.808774 3.539209 6.903375
2025-11-02 0.070255 0.173908 0.393628 0.871317 1.848556 3.699274 7.370931
2025-11-09 0.063042 0.161835 0.377745 0.860073 1.871303 3.828318 7.788687
2025-11-16 0.056783 0.151050 0.363297 0.850120 1.895288 3.960665 8.220856
2025-11-23 0.049930 0.137801 0.341809 0.822577 1.880091 4.014792 8.504160
2025-11-30 0.048755 0.138516 0.351995 0.865858 2.017754 4.381745 9.428613
2025-12-07 0.043332 0.127524 0.333688 0.842796 2.010299 4.454307 9.766682
2025-12-14 0.038530 0.117427 0.316278 0.819854 2.000746 4.521197 10.096687
2025-12-21 0.034535 0.108903 0.301677 0.801929 2.000597 4.607215 10.471286